Elon Musk is arguably the most powerful figure sitting at the cutting edge state of technology and its evolution. With the recent mass growth in AI, many of us are arguing whether it is too much too soon. Rather surprisingly, Musk thinks the world is woefully unprepared for the impact of artificial intelligence and believes the technology will hit people “like an asteroid”.
He backed up his argument by reminding us that “the only one on one meeting I ever had with Obama as President I used not to promote Tesla or SpaceX, but to encourage AI regulation.” Obama had dinner with Musk in February 2015 in San Francisco.
Musk’s comments were triggered in response to a tweet from A.I. software developer Mckay Wrigley, who wrote on Saturday: “It blows my mind that people can’t apply exponential growth to the capabilities of AI. You would’ve been called a *lunatic* a year ago if you said we’d have GPT-4 level AI right now. Now think another year. 5yrs? 10yrs? It’s going to hit them like an asteroid.”
According to the Financial Times, Musk is developing plans to launch an A.I. startup, dubbed X.AI, to compete against Microsoft-backed OpenAI, which makes generative A.I. tools, including the A.I. chatbots ChatGPT and GPT-4 and the image generator DALL-E 2.
But perhaps there is another agenda here? One more personally motivated by Musk himself. Only a few weeks ago, Musk called for a six-month pause on developing A.I. tools more advanced than GPT-4, the successor to ChatGPT. He was joined in signing an open letter by hundreds of technology experts, among them Apple cofounder Steve Wozniak. The letter warned of mass-scale misinformation and the mass automation of jobs.
The power of A.I. systems to automate some white-collar jobs is in little doubt. A Wharton professor recently ran an experiment to see what A.I. tools could accomplish on a business project in 30 minutes and called the results “superhuman.” Meanwhile some remote workers are apparently taking advantage of productivity-enhancing A.I. tools to hold multiple full-time jobs, with their employers none the wiser. But fears that in the long run A.I. will replace many jobs that are mounting.
Musk cofounded OpenAI in 2015 as a nonprofit, but he parted ways with it after a power struggle with CEO Sam Altman over its control and direction, according to the Wall Street Journal. His reasoning? “I created OpenAI as an open-source nonprofit to serve as a counterweight to Google, but now it has become a closed source, maximum-profit company effectively controlled by Microsoft. Not what I intended at all.”
Musk has long believed that oversight for artificial intelligence is necessary, having described the technology as “potentially more dangerous than nukes.”
“We need some kind of, like, regulatory authority or something overseeing A.I. development,” he told Tesla investors last month. “Make sure it’s operating in the public interest.”